Hib's have been very good this year. They beat Celtic and Glasgow which is something rarely any team in this league does. They have lost 2 times this year against Motherwell, last weekend 2:1 as guests. It looks like Motherwell "have their number". St. Mirren is strugling. They have lost against all superior teams away such as Celtic, Glasgow, Aberdeen, Hearts and they hardly beat poor Gretna at home last week (1:0). RThis should be straight win for Hibernian.

It is pretty hard to pick anything in tonight's UEFA games but after spending 2 days just collecting informations and looking at statistics we take this game as our pick that goes trough some of our tests. We will bet over 1,5 goals in this game. So the analysis is here.

STATISTICS: Basel home games this season

Oct 04, 07 UEFA Cup FC Basel 6 - 0 FK Sarajevo
Sep 30, 07 Super League FC Basel 3 - 0 FC St Gallen
Sep 02, 07 Super League FC Basel 2 - 1 FC Thun
Aug 16, 07 UEFA Cup FC Basel 2 - 1 SV Mattersburg
Aug 11, 07 Super League FC Basel 3 - 2 FC Sion
Jul 28, 07 Super League FC Basel 1 - 1 FC Aarau
Jul 22, 07 Super League FC Basel 1 - 0 FC Zürich

Rennes away games this season

Oct 06, 07 Ligue 1 Paris Saint Ger... 1 - 3 Stade Rennes
Sep 26, 07 Coupe de la Ligue Clermont Foot 0 - 0 Stade Rennes
Sep 20, 07 UEFA Cup Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 3 Stade Rennes
Sep 16, 07 Ligue 1 FC Lorient 0 - 1 Stade Rennes
Aug 29, 07 Ligue 1 AJ Auxerre 0 - 2 Stade Rennes
Aug 19, 07 Ligue 1 OGC Nice 1 - 1 Stade Rennes
Aug 11, 07 Ligue 1 Olympique Marse... 0 - 0 Stade Rennes

Now our logic is that Basel will definitely score at home
He did this in all games this season, while Rennes score 3 goals away in last UEFA cup game against a team that it is just a little bit worse than Basel is this season. We must say that Basel looks really strong this year and so thus Rennes. But we can also predict with more than 50% and up to 80% certainty that Rennes will score here today. When Basel played against Mattersburg this season in august they created many chances and miss them many too but the score was still 2:1. Today they get tougher opponent but if They are still able to score 2 goals as Swiss soccer can be sometimes good in Europe or lets say efficient, especially in UEFA cup. Now its hard to imagine the score being 0:0, 1:0, 0:1. Why? Well first of all Basel can score 2 goals at home but as Rennes is good in defence, it can happen that Basel will take the lead 1:0 but they are to weak for 2:0 so Rennes would make a draw or visa-versa Rennes takes the lead and then Basel squize the draw 1:1 or maybe 1:2. Well this bet sure looks more promising than Anderlect HW or Zenit win or At. Madrid AW. Also we have been looking for Basel results a lot since their hole league is one of our favourite and so is this club. They lack any serious defensive playing for big European games (this may not be big...) but they sure look good in offense and also they are letting opponent to score too. So, Basel-Rennes over 1,5

Atfer looking at statistics we logically come up with this pick as best possible for tonight. Olympiakos made their first ever away win on CL last round in Bremen. I believe the low score for this game is seriously out of option because Santiago Bernabeu is a stadion with a crowd looking for goals and their home team can deliver it. So thus opponent. This should go even over 2,5 but why taking another risk if we may called so. We have also considered taking under 3,5 in group A game between Marseille and Porto. But as the odds are the same our mind has to go with pick as much more propable. We have been also considering taking Liverpool or Chelsea but this just greediness for high odds and making numbers on account go up fast. This always finishes with much bigger declines on account.

There has been written so much on this game that I wont be explaining here. If there exist a game with so many positive things on one side than it has to be this game. Flyers should take this game. Atlanta will win soon or later but not this game. Homewin.

Things that bring this game on table for possible pick

Clemente: "Serbia will play with 1 player in atack"

Armenia home games:
03/09/2006 Armenia 0-1 Holland
06/09/2006 Armenia 0-1 Belgium
07/10/2006 Armenia 0-0 Finland
06/06/2007 Armenia 1-0 Poland
22/08/2007 Armenia 1-1 Portugal

Even if Serbia win this game, its a very small chance for mroe than 1 goal (0:2) and as Armenians can score more then 1 goal and they will try to defend as long as possible. Its quite logical for under 2.5.

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There is no doubt we can favour Detroit's team tonight. But. We may also take in consederation that Redwings have lost to Blackhawks 4:3 this year. That was their last loss. Since then, all victories against mid-strong teams. Legendary goalie Dominik Hasek is coming back tonight to help his team to continue that streak. More important Detroit is doing good in offense and even more important Chicago isn't, and they are on the road tonight. Ofcourse we wont stressed that too much. Game is a game. What I find good to back Detroit is that they are good in powerplays and Chicago isn't. Also they are more experienced, as Chicago has got a lot to prove from their rookies. We might take odds from 1.5 - 1.60 for regular time win but we will just stick to our philosophy and take Money line with OT included. After all those young rookies might have a good night and if their goalie do his job...Statistics show that this sort of future in this game is possible and even if it will be a clear home win at the or maybe even a loss for Detroit, we will at least sleep more comfortable.

Yesterday "Hib's" surprised Glasgow Rangers on their home court as they take all 3 points, (0:1). Sure they were exhausted from Champions league road win against Lyon, but the result show that Hibernian ia a serious threat for hogh positions. Celtic play at home midweek but as I point out manytimes, they are proffesionals with their bodys prepaired for playing tough and many games. That's why I chose Celtic to win this game. They are above the Gretna FC for 2 classes and even if they rotate their main squad a little bit they shall comfortably win this game. Also we should point out, Gretna is handicaped mainly for their fans because they play at Motherwell's ground. These two teams havent played against each other. This is our last pick this week. Yesterday we have played on Manchester United when the game already started (inplay,6min) so we couldnt posted our selection. So one of our rouls for max 5 picks have been utilized. Lets wait and if this goes through (70% it should) we have a fine week of picking the favourites behind ourselves.

Arsenal in great form. Manchester United has won today so Arsenal shouldnt lose any points on matches like these. We have strong conviction that winning strike is going to run forward this weekend.

Sarajevo is doing very bad in Bosnian championship. Although they are reigning champs they are only on 11th position with 2 wins out of 8 games. They are facing some deep crise at the moment. Their best players from last season are gone. They have problems eith their coach and goalkeeper. They even dont know what team they are going to bring to Basel and if their coach is going with them. More on that you can read on some betting forums. Everything mixed up badly for Sarajevo. Things are opposite for Basel. They play well at Uefa cup and even more in their home league. As ususal they are very hard to beat at home so this looks like a call for our money.

Domzale are back at the top of table. They should win today comfortably. The first match between this two has ended up with a road win of Domzale. Score was 0:1. Today there should be some handicap included in this game. But we preffer to take "more easy" choice since our approach must be respected all the way on the path.

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